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Moonwell Brief · Joel ObafemiIssue 006 · June 2026

Moonwell Brief

Smaller Book, Bigger Take

Combined supply eased 5.6 percent to $94.4 million as Base Core gave back May's gain on a $7.1 million outflow, yet protocol revenue climbed to roughly $44,000 and OEV capture reached 69.9 percent under the corrected fee split as renewed volatility drove liquidations past 1,000 events; Ethereum drew its first real liquidity at $2.9 million and the vaults bled a sixth straight month.

BaseOP MainnetMoonbeamEthereum
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01Headline finding

ay left one question open: would Ethereum draw real liquidity, or only the launch dust it opened with? June settled it. The month-old deployment drew $2.9 million of genuine supply, the first meaningful liquidity any new Moonwell chain has added since the Base and OP Mainnet era. It arrived against an ebbing tide, though. At the June 30 close, combined supply had eased 5.6 percent to $94.4 million as Base Core handed back May's first-of-the-year inflow, a $7.1 million constant-price outflow that carried it down to $67.9 million; the vaults slipped a sixth straight month to $19.5 million; and renewed volatility pushed liquidations past 1,000 events, up from May's 127. The four-chain era's first full month split two ways, then: the newest chain building while the oldest gave ground.

Base still anchors the protocol at 90 percent of supply, and it was Base that cooled: May's brief recovery unwound as a large supplier stepped out and USDC's borrow rate settled back from its May spike. Yet the month paid better even as it shrank. June's liquidation pickup fed the reserve through the 3 percent seize share, and with the MIP-X56 fee-split correction now live, oracle-update value recapture finally came good, carrying protocol capture to 69.9 percent of June's OEV, its first clean reading since the fix. A smaller book, in other words, taking a bigger cut.

02Overview

Supply by component, December to June
Core lendingVaults
$0$55.6M$111.2M$166.9M$222.5MDecJanFebMarAprMayJun
Core lending and vaults stack to combined supply. Core turned up in May to $79.2M, then gave back to $74.9M in June as Base bled and only Ethereum added; the vaults fell a sixth straight month to $19.5M. Hover any month for the split.
Source: GraphQL indexer + on-chain capture (oracle-priced, constant-price)
Month over month, May 31 to June 30, 2026
MetricMay 31Jun 30Change
Combined supplied$100.0M$94.4M−$5.6M
Core lending$79.2M$74.9M−$4.3M
Vaults TVL$20.8M$19.5M−$1.3M
Active suppliers16,00014,711−1,289
Protocol revenue$24.6K$44.3K+$19.7K

These levels are oracle-priced at each month-end, so the change reflects both flows and token price drift; the constant-price net flow is given in the headline.

Moonwell by chain, as of June 30, 2026
ChainCore suppliedVaults TVLCombinedNet flow (const-price)
Base$67.9M$19.5M$87.4M−$7.1M
Ethereum$2.9M$0$2.9M+$2.9M
OP Mainnet$3.0M$0$3.0M−$1.0M
Moonbeam$1.1M$0$1.1M−$0.4M
Moonwell total$74.9M$19.5M$94.4M−$5.7M

The chain table sets out the split cleanly: Base gave back $7.1 million on a constant-price basis, the bulk of the month's move, while Ethereum added $2.9 million in its first full month and OP Mainnet and Moonbeam each gave back a little, leaving the combined total 5.6 percent lighter. All USD figures are constant-price, read from the Moonwell oracle near the end-of-month block on each chain.

Ethereum went from launch dust to $2.9 million in a month, even as the older chains gave supply back.

03Markets and real yield

USDC stayed the largest market by far, $15.1 million supplied against $13.6 million borrowed, but the rate that made it interesting cooled off: base supply APY settled back to 4.47 percent at the June close from May's 8.43 percent spike as borrowing demand normalized. Behind it, cbBTC and MORPHO held $11.1 million and $10.7 million, the two having traded the second spot all year, with AERO close behind at $9.8 million.

Stablecoin base supply APY vs the risk-free rate, Dec to Jun
USDCEURCUSDS1-mo T-bill
0%3.34%6.68%10.02%13.36%DecJanFebMarAprMayJun
Base supply APY at each month-end against the 1-month US Treasury yield. USDC's May spike to 8.4 percent unwound in June to 4.5 percent as borrowing demand cooled, but it held a premium over the 3.7 percent T-bill for a second month. Hover for each month.
Source: On-chain capture (headline supply APY at the month-end block); T-bill = FRED DGS1MO
Largest Base Core markets by supply, as of June 30, 2026
MarketSuppliedBorrowedUtilizationBase supply APYBase borrow APY
USDC$15.1M$13.6M90.1%4.47%5.55%
cbBTC$11.1M$1.1M9.9%0.06%0.62%
MORPHO$10.7M$300K2.8%0.01%0.72%
AERO$9.8M$2.0M20.4%0.59%4.69%
WETH$7.6M$6.4M84.2%0.90%1.19%
LBTC$3.3M$400K12.1%0.07%0.70%
cbXRP$2.5M$800K32.0%0.00%1.01%
wstETH$2.3M$200K8.7%0.04%0.55%

USDC suppliers still cleared the risk-free rate, 4.47 percent base plus a WELL incentive against the 3.72 percent T-bill, but the gap narrowed sharply from May as the borrow-driven yield spike unwound. June's real lesson was that May's 9 percent USDC print was a borrowing-demand spike, not a new plateau.

04Wallets and risk

Concentration kept climbing as the deposit base thinned. The top 10 wallets now hold 35.1 percent of supplied value and the top 50 hold 59.2 percent, up from 33.3 and 57.5 percent in May, while active suppliers fell to 14,711. The give-back was the mirror image of last month: it came from the same large holders whose deposits had driven May's recovery, which is why net dollar retention still held at 86.3 percent month over month and wallet retention at 84.5 percent. That is a healthy reading despite the supply loss, and it marks the move as a handful of big withdrawals rather than broad attrition.

Cohort retention triangle: do depositors stay?
Colour byeach cell: W = wallets · $ = dollars
CohortM0M1M2M3M4M5M6
Dec 2025
20,028 wallets
100%
W 100%
84.8%
W 85.6%
56.5%
W 76.9%
48.5%
W 73%
46.9%
W 66.7%
43.3%
W 63.3%
41.6%
W 61%
Jan 2026
19,536 wallets
100%
W 100%
63.9%
W 83.8%
56.2%
W 79.1%
49.6%
W 71.6%
48.6%
W 67.9%
47.1%
W 65.1%
Feb 2026
17,994 wallets
100%
W 100%
87.4%
W 88.3%
79.4%
W 78.6%
73.5%
W 74.9%
71.6%
W 72.3%
Mar 2026
17,975 wallets
100%
W 100%
87.5%
W 83.5%
81.4%
W 78.9%
79.6%
W 76.4%
Apr 2026
16,545 wallets
100%
W 100%
91.8%
W 89.8%
88%
W 85.7%
May 2026
16,000 wallets
100%
W 100%
86.3%
W 84.5%
Jun 2026
14,711 wallets
100%
W 100%
Each row is a monthly cohort (the active deposit base of wallets ≥ $10 at that month-end); columns are months since the cohort started. Each cell shows dollar retention (NRR, large) and wallet retention (W). Cohorts that formed before February lived through the oracle incident and deleveraging and retained dollars poorly; cohorts from February onward, in calmer water, held far better. Read down a column to compare cohorts of the same age.
Source: Envio GraphQL indexer: per-wallet SupplyDelta + RateSample, oracle-priced, constant-price, $10 floor
Supply concentration: top-10 wallet share, Dec to Jun
0%9.48%18.95%28.43%37.91%DecJanFebMarAprMayJun
The top 10 wallets' share of supply rose again to 35.1 percent as the Base outflow came from larger holders and the small-depositor base kept thinning.
Source: GraphQL indexer (combined core + vaults)

Risk kept slowly healing, the legacy shortfall from February easing further. June's governance extended Anthias Labs' cap-guardian role to the new Ethereum deployment and ran the risk partner's monthly risk and reserve recommendations, its ongoing tuning of caps and reserve factors.

05Liquidations

The quiet ended. After May's 127-event floor, June brought over 1,000 liquidations seizing roughly $940,000 of collateral against $820,000 of debt repaid, a sharp pickup driven by a mid-month volatility burst. It was nowhere near February's $7.1 million wave, but it broke the two-month calm and, through the protocol's 3 percent seize share, was the main reason revenue rebounded. The seizures concentrated in the volatile small-caps: VVV alone was a third of the collateral taken, with cbXRP next and a long tail of small WETH liquidations driving the event count.

Liquidated collateral by asset, June 2026 (Base and OP Mainnet)
CollateralSeizedEvents
VVV$326.8K24
cbXRP$182.3K47
WETH$165.1K516
cbBTC$108.2K115
wstETH$42.1K23
LBTC$36.9K7
rETH$29.2K8
All collateral$938.9K1,089

Sixty distinct liquidators competed for the flow, but it concentrated heavily: the top address alone took a third of the seized value across just 18 transactions, and the top five took roughly two-thirds. One address cleared $79,200 in a single liquidation.

Top liquidators by collateral seized, June 2026
LiquidatorSeizedEvents
0x0208…810d$323.8K18
0x57da…741a$141.7K62
0x777d…2a54$79.2K1
0xe5c9…1119$78.1K18
0xfea7…0a74$75.6K31

06Vaults

The vaults fell for a sixth straight month, to $19.5 million from $20.8 million, though the bleed keeps slowing: a $1.3 million drop this time, against May's $5.2 million. Even so, they have now given up roughly 62 percent of their January TVL, with Flagship USDC and ETH still holding the bulk at $9.7 million and $6.5 million.

Moonwell-Morpho vaults, as of June 30, 2026
VaultTVL
Flagship USDC$9.7M
Flagship ETH$6.5M
Frontier cbBTC$1.8M
Flagship EURC$1.4M
Ecosystem USDC$62K
All vaults$19.5M

07Financials

Revenue rebounded. Gross fees rose to roughly $232,000 as June's liquidation pickup added a large bonus on top of steady borrower interest, and protocol revenue nearly doubled to about $44,300 at a 0.56 percent annualized take rate, up from May's 0.29 percent. The driver was the 3 percent protocol seize share of the month's liquidated collateral, not a structural improvement in lending monetization. That stayed thin: borrower interest held near $106,400 even as USDC's headline rate cooled, because more of the month carried elevated borrowing before the late-month unwind.

Fees and revenue, June 2026
LineAmount
Gross fees: borrower interest$106,400
Gross fees: liquidation bonus$116,700
Gross fees: Morpho vault performance$9,000
Total gross fees$232,100
Protocol revenue: reserve-factor interest$11,500
Protocol revenue: liquidation seize share (3%)$28,200
Protocol revenue: vault fee share (50%)$4,600
Total protocol revenue$44,300
Annualized take rate0.56%

08OEV

With the MIP-X56 fee-split correction now live, the protocol's OEV capture rate is measurable again, and it is working. Across 162 wrapper events in June the active Chainlink wrappers recaptured $25,727 for the protocol against $11,058 of liquidator bonus: a 69.9 percent capture rate, right on the 70 percent target the proposal set. The protocol took roughly seven of every ten dollars of oracle-update value June's liquidations unlocked, the cleanest reading of the metric since the fee-split was corrected.

Where that value came from was concentrated. The VVV/USD wrapper alone produced $12,986 across 18 liquidations, more than half the month's protocol OEV, as one leveraged VVV borrower was wound down in seven tranches. The ETH, cbXRP, and BTC feeds followed.

Protocol OEV by wrapper, June 2026
WrapperChainEventsProtocol OEV
VVV/USDBase18$12,986
ETH/USDBase62$5,583
cbXRP/USDBase18$3,282
BTC/USDBase31$3,173
ETH/USDOP Mainnet3$336
AERO/USDBase10$208

OEV routing is now the default path rather than the exception. In June, 68 percent of Base and OP Mainnet liquidation volume ($635,000 of $939,000, but only 162 of 1,089 events) ran through the OEV wrappers, up from single digits under the pre-MIP-X56 design. Moonbeam's 269 June liquidations sit outside this figure: no wrappers are deployed there, so they cannot be routed.

The searcher side, by contrast, is thin. Thirty-four addresses executed OEV liquidations in June, but a single bot captured 64 percent of the recaptured value across 23 liquidations, including the large VVV wind-down. That concentration, an HHI near 4,200, is efficient today but worth watching: OEV auctions stay healthiest with several competing searchers, and June ran mostly on one.

09Governance

After May's Ethereum-launch burst, June was a quiet operations month: four on-chain proposals, no Snapshot votes, and all four executed. Anthias Labs, the protocol's risk steward, carried the month with its monthly recommendation and risk-parameter packages (MIP-X60 and MIP-X61); the recurring Automated Liquidity Incentive Proposal (MIP-X59) set the period's WELL incentives; and MIP-E01 tuned the WETH market on the new Ethereum deployment. Turnout stayed thin, averaging 186 active voters against the all-time high of 880, though every proposal cleared quorum with support between 96.7 and 100 percent.

On-chain proposals, June 2026
ProposalTitleSupport
MIP-X61Anthias Labs Monthly Risk Parameter & Reserve Recommendations96.7%
MIP-X60Anthias Labs Monthly Recommendations & Reserve Recommendations99.9%
MIP-X59Automated Liquidity Incentive Proposal100%
MIP-E01Moonwell WETH Market Improvement99.3%

10Cross-deployment and token

Moonwell held its rank as the third-largest Base lending venue by supplied value, behind Morpho Blue and Aave V3 and ahead of Fluid, Compound V3, and Euler. Morpho Blue held near $4.2 billion while Aave's Base book eased to $647 million from $718 million in May; Moonwell's Base book eased to $67.9 million on the month's outflow. It kept third comfortably, well clear of the roughly $30 million tier below.

Base lending venues by supplied USD, June 30, 2026
RankVenueSupplied
1Morpho Blue$4.23 billion
2Aave V3$647 million
3Moonwell$67.9 million
4Fluid$30.9 million
5Compound V3$29.2 million
6Euler V2$27.9 million

WELL closed June at $0.003462, a $15.8 million market cap, down from $0.004165 and $18.9 million in May as the token gave back with the broader drawdown. The staking base stayed deep through the decline, a counterweight to the price.

Methodology

Core lending USD is on-chain from the Moonwell oracle near the month-end block; vaults, flows, retention, and concentration are from the self-hosted Envio indexer (frozen at the June 30 tip, ~20:41 UTC). Financials are the dashboard ledger, recomputed on-chain for June after a scanner gap; protocol liquidation revenue is the 3 percent protocolSeizeShareMantissa of seized collateral. Comparators are DefiLlama (TVL plus borrowed). Flows and retention are constant-price. The risk-free reference is the 1-month US Treasury yield (3.72 percent). OEV capture is measured on the active (v2) wrappers only; the June reading reflects a correction to the VVV/USD wrapper's price decimals that had understated the liquidator bonus and overstated the rate (from 76.5 to 69.9 percent), plus a completeness backfill that recovered six wrapper events a scanner log-fetch had silently dropped. OEV-routed share is scoped to Base and OP Mainnet, the only chains with wrappers. A net-of-gas liquidator breakdown is pending.

11Looking ahead

July opens the second half. Watch whether Ethereum builds on its first real month or stalls near $3 million, whether Base Core finds a floor after giving back May's gain, whether the vault bleed finally ends, whether the June volatility and its liquidations were a one-off or the start of a noisier stretch, and whether Anthias, the protocol's risk partner, keeps tightening the book. Its July package, passed in late June, points the way: MIP-X61 cuts wrsETH's collateral factor from 68 to 52 percent and tunes the USDC and MAMO rate curves.

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